Fridays trading saw the Ibovespa index struggle to stay positive, closing with a minor gain of 0.08% and ending at 119,662.38 points.This increase of 94.85 points was insufficient to offset the weeks 0.91% decline, marking the fourth consecutive week of losses.The commercial dollar rose 0.28% to R$5.38 ($1.01), while future interest rates fell across the curve.Under pressure to cut expenses rather than increase revenue to meet fiscal targets, Planning and Budget Minister Simone Tebet promised a menu of possibilities to reduce expenses.She emphasized that these cuts would not compromise social investments.
Tebet emphasized the need for daily meetings to finalize these plans by the end of June.Ibovespa Climbs, Led by Major Stocks; CVC Declines on Financial Results.
(Photo Internet reproduction)She clarified that, while everything is considered, the minimum wage increase and retirement benefits are protected.This new approach, supported by Finance Minister Fernando Haddad, aims to restore rationality in government interactions with market agents, businesspeople, and investors.This is crucial to calm financial markets, which have seen declines due to fiscal concerns over the past month.Tebet addressed rumors of Haddads weakening influence, affirming his strong personal relationship with President Lula.She emphasized that the economic agenda has been the governments most successful aspect in 2023.
While the governments rhetoric is proactive, practical results are awaited.Market analysts predict a primary deficit of R$79.715 billion ($14.90 billion) for 2024, worsening from the previous estimate of R$76.825 billion ($14.36 billion).This reflects skepticism about the governments ability to eliminate the deficit with the new fiscal framework approved last year.The 2024 Annual Budget Law forecasted a small surplus of R$2.8 billion ($0.52 billion), but recent reports revised this to a deficit of R$14.5 billion ($2.71 billion), equivalent to 0.1% of GDP.In contrast, major US indices closed mixed, with the S-P 500 and Nasdaq setting new records.
The Ibovespa, however, has hit yearly lows, falling over 10% in 2024.XP Investimentos notes that Ibovespas performance strongly correlates with long-term US interest rates.Stock Market UpdateDespite government efforts, the stock market remains unconvinced.
Vale (VALE3) ended down 0.36%, with iron ore posting losses for the week.Petrobras (PETR4) fell 2.20% following management changes and a slight decline in international oil prices.
PRIO (PRIO3) rose 0.36%, benefiting from the dollars recent increase.WEG (WEGE3) gained 0.91%, while B3 (B3SA3) recovered with a 2.88% rise after approving R$470 million ($87.85 million) in dividends.The Economic Activity Index (IBC-Br) stabilized, edging up by 0.01% in April after a 0.34% decline in March.
This fell short of analysts expectations of a 0.45% increase.After a challenging week, investors deserve a peaceful weekend.
Next week includes Copoms Selic rate decision, crucial for market direction.
Enjoy the calm while it lasts.