"Can't Beat Market Forever": Analyst On Apple's Trillion-Dollar Question

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Apple has said that it expects weak iPhone sales in other emerging markets
California giant, which until recently had been seen as undisputed innovation leader in tech sector.Apple's rare admission on Wednesday
cited steeper-than-expected "economic deceleration" in China and emerging markets and noted that trade frictions between Washington and
Beijing were taking a toll on its smartphone sales.But news raised questions on whether Apple -- first to reach a $1 trillion valuation and
until recently world's most valuable company -- is seeing a bump in road or is starting to slide back from its leadership position.Some
analysts point to Apple's dependence on iPhone sales to drive revenue and profits, even as it tries to diversify its product base and add
services such as music and digital payments."The iPhone has been supporting company for than a decade," said Roger Kay, analyst at Endpoint
Technologies Associates."The world isn't coming to an end for Apple but it's a major inflection point
Up to now, Apple has defied gravity by growing faster than any other company in market, but mathematically it was impossible to beat market
forever."Apple shares plummeted nearly 10 percent on news Thursday, with company shedding some 38 percent since its valuation hit $1
trillion last year.Kay said trillion-dollar valuation was "irrational" and based on growth projections Apple is unlikely to achieve without
a new catalyst.Apple, which has been growing in China even though it lacks a dominant position, is pressured by tariffs and other trade
issues, further inflamed by arrest of China-based Huawei's chief financial officer in Canada at behest of United States.Huawei has overtaken
Apple as third largest global smartphone maker despite limited presence in United States."At a crossroads"The update suggested a
disappointing figure for iPhone sales, key driver of revenue and profit for California tech giant.Apple said that it expects weak iPhone
sales in other emerging markets, driving down revenue despite some positive signs in developed markets and in its other products and
services.The company slashed its revenue guidance for first fiscal quarter of 2019, ended December 29, to $84 billion -- sharply lower than
analyst forecasts averaging $91 billion."Apple stock is now at a crossroads," said a research note Thursday from Gene Munster and Will
Thompson of investment firm Loup Ventures."Some investors will consider stock broken.
but we've followed company long enough to know there is cyclicality in market's relationship with Apple."Munster and Thompson said it would
take "a new product category," or large acquisition to allow Apple to regain its momentum.Tactical errorsSome analysts said Apple erred in
boosting price of its new iPhones to well over $1,000 in a global smartphone market that is largely saturated and facing tougher
competition."I think main villain is very high prices that Apple is charging for its new iPhones," said Richard Windsor, a technology
analyst who writes Radio Free Mobile blog."This is not a catastrophe nor is it a sign that Apple is losing its grip on smartphone market but
merely a misjudgment by Apple with regard to how much money people will pay for an iPhone."The latest news sparked talk of "Nokia moment"
for Apple -- a reference to Finnish-based firm that led mobile phone market in early 2000s.But Windsor said: "I do not in any way think that
this represents Apple's 'Nokia' moment simply because there is still nothing to seriously challenge iPhone in high-end segment."Carolina
Milanesi of Creative Strategies said Apple is unique among smartphone makers because it has a wide array of apps and services that produce
revenue."While it is true that no other single product has done for Apple as much as iPhone, product offering as an aggregate still puts
Apple ahead of all other vendors who might be selling higher volumes but have no direct way to monetize from their users once sale has
occurred," Milanesi said in a blog.Patrick Moorhead of Moor Insights Strategy said Apple may be unable to deliver double-digit growth than
many on Wall Street have been expecting given current smartphone market."I am not concerned for company, but it's likely investors will not
see company value it was at until it can see a likely path to double-digit revenue growth," Moorhead said.(Except for headline, this story
has not been edited by TheIndianSubcontinent staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)