INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
The government signaled it's ready to sacrifice fiscal discipline to stoke economic growth, as it prepares to unveil its last spending
plan next month before a general election."It entirely depends on what existing situations are," Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said in an
interview to CNBC-TV18 news channel Thursday
"Therefore without getting into specifics, because that will be disclosing mind into which we are working, some of those challenges really
can't afford to wait and therefore obviously there will be a necessity to address them."His comments come amid speculation government is
studying various options, including a cash handout for farmers, to ease their distress and to shore up popular support before national
election that's due by May
The government has already exceeded its budget deficit targets in October and any additional welfare concessions could leave investors
wary.The government had forecast a budget deficit of 3.3 percent of gross domestic product for current fiscal year
Data for September quarter showed growth eased to 7.1 percent from 8-plus percent pace seen in previous three-month period."Populist
measures, such as those to support rural voters and small business owners in run up to general elections, risk aggravating fiscal
pressures," Thomas Rookmaaker, Hong Kong-based director of sovereigns at Fitch Ratings, said by email in response to questions before Mr
The "government may still be able to meet its fiscal deficit target, as it has some cards up its sleeve, including deferral of capital
expenditure and postponement of bill payments until after March."Convention demands that outgoing administration present only an interim
budget to secure parliament's approval for expenses for a part of financial year starting April until a new government is in place
The rules also allow for spending plan to be passed by parliament's lower house without any discussion."Ordinarily there's no reason why
we should move away from that convention," Mr Jaitley said, adding that "larger interest of economy always dictates what goes into that
interim budget."Any measures to address farm sector distress would be in addition to an existing program for guaranteed crop prices and
healthcare, full impact of which will be known only in budget due on Feb
The government's already slashed taxes on some goods and services and announced exemptions on pension withdrawals to appease voters.In
addition to fiscal measures, Mr Jaitley is hoping for some support on monetary front
He said he hoped central bank, which in October abandoned a neutral monetary policy stance for a hawkish bias, gets a feel of what real
situation of economy is."You can't have a real rate of interest in India which is larger than anywhere else in world," Mr Jaitley said,
referring to inflation-adjusted real rate of 4.31 percent
Find latest news, updates and videos on Budget 2019, Budget expectations, tax and policy announcements here
Like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter for more on Union Budget 2019.
