Checking Threat Scenario Key To Fixing Optimum Defence Budget: Analysts

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Several high-cost projects are currently under the works by the country's defence manufacturing sector.The country's defence analysts
are hoping for an increased expenditure outlay for the armed forces in this year's interim budget to be presented on February 1 by union
minister Piyush Goyal
This is also the last interim budget of the NDA government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi before the Lok Sabha elections due by
May.Arriving at a certain figure for India's defence budget is usually done by comparing similar budgets of neighbouring nations, says
defence analyst Swaran Singh, according to news agency ANI."Last year, when Pakistan's defence budget went up by about 18 per cent,
India's defence budget went up only by about 5.5 per cent
This was seen as a matter of concern
Likewise, Chinese defence budget is three times compared to our budget," he said."I want to underline that these are the only two countries
of concern but defence budget has to keep other issues in mind and in that sense, it is important to see that what part of our total
revenues are being allocated to national defence," he added.Several high-cost projects are currently under the works by the country's
defence manufacturing sector
They include surface-to-air missiles, tanks, drones and even an aircraft carrier, among others
India is also buying the all-weather, advanced multirole jet Rafale from France.Mr Singh said about 27 per cent of India's revenue is
allocated for defence currently
"This is fairly impressive."Others, however, are of the opinion that the optimum defence budget should be set by taking into account the
kinds of threat that India faces
Since defence is a capital-intensive sector, large, long-term investments need to be done according to needs, say analysts."The budget has
to be made according to the threat scenario which is quite severe
However, as it is an election year, we cannot expect a huge jump in the allotment for defence in the next one year or so," said defence
analyst SK Chatterjee."As I see we will not be getting enough funds for modernisation of our defence while the Chinese are undergoing a huge
modernisation exercise
They are cutting down on their manpower and investing in technology for the armed forces," he added.In July last year, a parliamentary panel
had criticised the government for inadequate allocation of funds for the armed forces in the defence budget
The parliamentary standing committee on defence had said the country cannot afford complacency in dealing with security challenges,
particularly when there was a possibility of a two-front war
In its report to the Lok Sabha last year, the committee on estimates also referred to allocation of 1.56 per cent of the Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) to the three services of the armed forces in the defence budget, noting that it was the lowest since India and China fought a
war in 1962.(With inputs from ANI) Find latest news, updates and videos on Budget 2019, Budget expectations, tax and policy announcements
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