INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Firms such as RIL, Wipro and HDFC Bank are expected to announce their results in the coming week.Domestic equity market is expected to face
a volatile week ahead as the ongoing general election season progresses and India Inc comes out with fourth quarter (Q4) earning
numbers."India VIX (volatility index) has climbed above 20 levels anticipating higher incoming volatility due to the general election
However, realised volatility remains much lower
This means market participants are preparing for stock indices move wildly in the coming weeks," said Sahil Kapoor, chief market
second phase of the general election will be held on April 18, when 97 constituencies spread across 13 states and union territories will go
to the polls."Expectation of present government coming back to power will continue to boost sentiment," said DK Aggarwal, chairman and
general election, investors will look out for the upcoming Q4 results
Companies such as Reliance Industries, Wipro, Mindtree, HDFC Bank and CRISIL are expected to announce their Q4 earning results in the coming
week."The current liquidity-driven rally in domestic market may get extended as market is hoping for a continuity in reforms implemented by
the last government, benign inflation and increase in scope for further rate cuts," said Vinod Nair, head of research at Geojit Financial
Services."However, a downward revision in GDP forecast by RBI, higher oil prices, global factors and elections will add volatility in market
Additionally, Q4 earnings will also weigh on investor sentiments, consensus expects strong double-digit growth led by financials."Apart from
the Q4 results, investors will look out for the upcoming macro-economic data points -- Wholesale Price Index -- on Monday
The Balance of Trade figures will also influence sentiments
The trade data was released after the close of market hours on Friday.Even the movement of rupee against the US dollar is expected to
influence trends on the bourses next week
The rupee on a weekly basis strengthened to 69.15-16 per greenback."The rupee closed at 69.15 after a see-saw move touching 69.38 on news of
ArcelorMittal Essar Steel money being delayed," said Sajal Gupta, head forex and rates, Edelweiss Securities."Crude still remains a key risk
amid Libya instability and OPEC cuts
Expect rupee to be a bit weaker going forward and can trade between 68.90 to 69.80."In terms of investments, provisional figures from the
stock exchanges showed that foreign institutional investors bought scrip worth Rs 4,246.20 crore during the week.On technical levels, Deepak
Jasani, head of retail research for HDFC Securities said: "Technically, with the Nifty bouncing back after recently testing a low of 11,549
points, traders will need to watch if the index can now cross the immediate resistance of 11,710 points for the intermediate uptrend to
news, live updates and election schedule for Lok Sabha Elections 2019 on TheIndianSubcontinent.com/elections
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