INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
India's medium-term target of 4 per cent for an eleventh straight month, a poll by news agency Reuters predicted.Another reading below the
inflation target will likely support the RBI's decision last month to cut interest rates to boost economic growth that slowed to more than
a four-year low in the January-March quarter.According to the median consensus of 40 economists polled by Reuters between July 4 and July 7,
retail inflation rose at an annual rate of 3.20 per cent in June, up from 3.05 per cent in May.Forecasts ranged between 2.90 per cent and
3.84 per cent.Food prices, which account for nearly half of the inflation basket, have been rising since early this year - a dramatic shift
from their deflationary path in late 2018.If the consensus forecast is realised, retail inflation will have been below the RBI's
medium-term target of 4 per cent since July last year."A good part of the inflation should be a lift up from food inflation
The pickup remained barely subdued in the grander scheme of things," said Vishnu Varathan, an economist at Mizuho Bank."It has not really
picked up in a way that's going to shake up markets or raise huge concerns for the RBI at this juncture," he added.Some economists expect
the central bank to cut rates in August for the fourth consecutive time since February to enhance liquidity after the government's annual
budget last week lacked any direct steps to boost the economy.The fiscal deficit target for this financial year was reduced to 3.3 per cent
from 3.4 per cent, and domestic borrowing was estimated at Rs 7.1 lakh crore."(If) you are planning to spend more than what you have been
indicating, that could potentially swell the deficit above the target," said Prakash Sakpal, Asia economist at ING."If that is the case,
that is going to be potentially inflationary," he added.Get Breaking news, live coverage, and Latest News from India and around the world on
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