INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
KARACHI: While Pakistan economy moved along the stabilization phase led by demand management policies, vulnerabilities in the external and
fiscal sectors persisted during Jul-Mar FY19, according to the State Bank of Pakistan Third Quarterly Report on the State of Pakistan
Economy released today.This implies that the current stabilization agenda needs to be reinforced with deep rooted structural reforms.The
pace of economic growth slowed down considerably during FY19, mainly in response to policy measures taken to curb the twin deficits
These measures affected the performance of the industrial sector and dampened manufacturing activities in the country
Meanwhile, water- and weather-related concerns, in tandem with the higher cost of major inputs, took a toll on crop production
The weak showing by the commodity-producing sectors also constrained the output of the services sector.Moreover, the fiscal deficit
deteriorated further, as a steep fall in non-tax revenues and a slowdown in tax revenue led the overall revenue collection to stagnate at
On the other hand, expenditure increased sharply during Jul-Mar FY19, specifically the current expenditure that more than offset the decline
in the development expenditure.According to the report, inflation stubbornly kept an upward trajectory
Despite several rounds of policy rate hike since January 2018, the average CPI inflation during Jul-Mar FY19 exceeded the full year target
Although demand-pull pressures lessened in intensity towards the end of FY19, the Non-Food Non-Energy component continued to climb due to
second round impact of exchange rate depreciation and increase in energy prices.On the external front, the current account deficit (CAD)
declined on the back of lower import payments for both goods and services, and a decent growth in workers& remittances
However, given the elevated level of CAD and insufficient foreign investments to fill the financing gap, the country had to resort to
bilateral and commercial sources for external financing.The report features a special section on power tariffs in Pakistan
The analysis explains the process of power tariff determination in the country and assesses why tariffs have not softened despite the
It suggests that capacity payments constitute the bulk of power tariffs in Pakistan, and a sharp increase in these payments in recent years
has completely offset gains from declining fuel cost.The report also contains another special section on the outlook of food security in
The analysis emphasizes the related challenges that the country may face going forward, such as a high population growth and unfavorable
water and climatic conditions, unless remedial measures are taken urgently.TheIndianSubcontinent has not verified the content of the source
This first appeared/also appeared in
https://feedproxy.google.com/~r/com/YEor/~3/Rk137jY-QS4/498824-sbp-releases-third-quarterly-report-on-state-of-economy-for-fy19
