INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
The question many are asking is: What now?Since Donald Trump's return to the White House, Iranian authorities have made it clear that
their policies toward the United States would adjust according to the behavior of the new administration
This approach reflected Tehran's caution in the face of the volatility of United States politics, considering scenarios ranging from the
renegotiation of a new agreement that would go beyond the nuclear dossier to the tightening of sanctions through a "maximum pressure 2.0"
campaign, which ultimately materialized
Even the possibility of a direct conflict between the two countries was not ruled out.In this scenario, Iran is evaluating various response
strategies, taking into account several key factors
One of the most significant is the reevaluation of its regional policies
Iranian political elites recognize the need for a pragmatic reassessment of their position in West Asia, adapting to new geostrategic
This includes strengthening alliances with neighboring countries and regional powers, aiming to create a more stable environment that favors
their interests.At the same time, internal economic priorities occupy a central place on the Iranian government's agenda
Faced with persistent economic challenges, Tehran seeks to mitigate the impact of Western sanctions, boost domestic production, and
diversify its economy to reduce dependence on external actors
The search for new commercial opportunities and adaptation to changes in the global market are essential to maintaining internal
stability.The reinforcement of military capabilities is another pillar of Iran's strategy
Tensions with Israel and the United States, exacerbated by last year's reciprocal attacks, have led Tehran to prioritize deterrence and
The situation in the regions has underscored the need not only to preserve but also to strengthen its military arsenal to protect national
sovereignty.In this context, the Islamic Republic maintains significant negotiating power
Its nuclear program has advanced considerably and Israelis claim Iran has the capacity to develop a nuclear weapon, pending only a political
Moreover, its missile arsenal has proven capable of striking strategic targets in the occupied territories and United States bases in the
Washington's "maximum pressure," Iran could opt for two approaches: exploring alternative routes and activating pre-designed plans
With the United States likely to attempt to block traditional paths, Tehran will seek to circumvent sanctions through more discreet methods,
such as informal oil sales, clandestine money transfers, and acquiring goods through third parties.However, a crucial aspect is the
resilience of Iranian society in the face of this new round of economic pressure
"Maximum pressure" not only aims to force the government to the negotiating table but also to wear down the economy from within, provoking
The ultimate goal of this policy is to weaken Iran's internal cohesion, pressuring both the leadership and the population to make
concessions in the diplomatic arena.For its part, the United States will continue with a multi-pronged pressure strategy aimed at forcing a
negotiation in which, even before the dialogue begins, the very framework of the conversation is designed to favor American interests
Among Washington's objectives are unprecedented economic sanctions aimed at reducing Iran's oil revenues to zero, even in the face of
Trump has issued orders to eliminate Iranian oil sales to China, block supply routes for goods, and restrict Iran's use of Iraq's
international campaign aimed at isolating Iran on the global stage
The Secretary of State will lead this initiative through trips and consultations with key United States partners in the region and European
This strategy is complemented by indirect military threats
During a meeting with Netanyahu, Trump emphasized the "right of the United States to strike Iran's nuclear facilities." In this context,
Israel has requested the purchase of advanced weaponry worth $7 billion, with Washington prioritizing the delivery of these
supplies.However, analysts agree that a direct attack on Iran is unlikely due to the "high regional costs" it would entail
to assess the threats and opportunities presented by the United States
For now, what is clear is that the political decision-makers in Tehran show no signs of being willing to make compromises in potential
