[Iran] - A year of geopolitical challenges: where is Iran heading in 1404

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
MADRID - The year 1403 in the Persian calendar concerned an end, leaving a whirlwind of political events that have actually improved the
landscape of Iran and its environments
The intensity of these developments has been such that it is tough to believe they all happened within simply 12 months.During 1403, for the
first time in 43 years, an Iranian president, Ebrahim Raisi, died while in office, requiring the nation to hold early elections
After years of indirect confrontations in between Iran and Israel, they carried out direct and official military strikes versus each other
for the very first time, marking a turning point in the local conflict.In this regard, the year 1403 saw Iran desert its conventional
doctrine of tactical persistence in favor of a policy of active deterrence
From a strategic point of view, this shift suggests that any attack on its military personnel or installations will be met a direct
response.The change in strategic doctrine took place at the start of the year, following Israels rocket attack on the building real estate
Iran's consulate in Damascus in April
As an outcome of this attack, 7 members of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guard (IRGC), including Mohammadreza Zadehi, were killed.Irans reaction
to the attack can be found in the kind of the operation called True Promise, performed twelve days later on
Militarily, the operation consisted of several drone and rocket strikes, preceded by a series of cyberattacks targeting the Zionist regimes
power grid and radar systems, which led to prevalent power blackouts in the region
The very first wave included lots of Shahed-136 kamikaze drones, with around 100 units in total
This was followed by three additional strikes at periods of around 30 minutes, introducing between 400 and 500 drones in total.In May, the
helicopter bring President Ebrahim Raisi, Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, and other officials crashed in a mountainous area near
the Azerbaijani border
All passengers on board lost their lives.One of the key doctrines directing President Raisis foreign policy was great neighborliness,
focused on strengthening ties with local nations
This doctrine, which stays the foundation of Iran's regional policy, should be examined along with 2 other fundamental tactical pillars of
his administrations diplomacy: unwavering assistance for Palestine and the Axis of Resistance, which was a main concern of his federal
government, and the Look to the East policy, developed to combine political, economic, and tactical cooperation with countries in the
Eastern Hemisphere, particularly in Asia, while reducing dependence on the West.In June, the first round of the early elections was held
Masoud Pezeshkian became the winner with 10.4 million votes (43.5% of the overall), followed by Saeed Jalili with 9.4 million votes (37.7%)
Mohammad Qalibaf secured 3.4 million (14%), while Mohammad Pourmohammadi received 200,000 votes (0.8%)
Since none of the candidates secured the needed bulk (50% plus one vote), a second round was held on July 5, in which Pezeshkian was elected
as Iran's new president after winning approximately 16.4 million votes
Jalili, for his part, got around 13.5 million votes.Pezeshkians election was overshadowed by the assassination, on the very day of his
inauguration, of Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas political bureau, who had gone to as a welcomed guest to the Iranian presidents
swearing-in ceremony.The method of targeted assassinations has actually been used by Israel for decades
The Mossad, Israels intelligence company, has a long history of operations against Palestinian figures and other opponents of Israel in
Europe, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt, and Iran
Nevertheless, if the supreme goal is to damage groups opposing the colonization of Palestine, this technique has actually stopped working:
every assassinated leader has had a follower, as was the case with Haniyeh.In September, electronic gadgets used by Hezbollah in Lebanon
were targeted in coordinated surges, triggering many casualties, including civilians, and hurting Iran's ambassador to Lebanon.That very
same month, Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah was assassinated in an Israeli strike in Beirut, in addition to Abbas Nilforoushan,
the deputy head of operations for IRGC
Hezbollah had actually challenged Israels military supremacy by developing a no-go zone within Israeli-occupied territory, requiring
countless inhabitants to run away from the north of the country.In October, Iran launched True Promise II in retaliation
According to the IRGCs declaration, nearly 400 ballistic rockets were fired at crucial military targets in Tel Aviv and other locations
Iranian sources declared that over 80% of the rockets struck their targets and that the Mossad head office was destroyed in the attack
The Negev Airbase, which housed F-35 fighter squadrons, was also hit.On October 26, Israel reacted with a series of airstrikes against Iran
Iranian military sources reported that a lot of projectiles were obstructed, though minimal damage happened in Tehran, Khuzestan, and
Ilam.In November, the most substantial event for Iran was Donald Trumps victory in the United States elections
In spite of speculation about internal divisions within his administration, Trump restored the maximum pressure policy against Iran simply
months later.In December, the collapse of Bashar al-Assads government in Syria became one of the most major geopolitical threats to Iran in
decades.Finally, on February 7, the Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ali Khamenei, ruled out any possibility of dialogue with the United
States as long as the maximum pressure policy continued
Days before the years end, Trump threatened Iran following attacks on Yemen, alerting that any rocket launch from Yemen would be thought
about an Iranian attack with severe effects
The year 1404 is forming up to be a definitive duration for Iran
The obstacles consist of Israels escalating military actions in the region, along with the United States maximum pressure policy
Nevertheless, chances also occur in the shift toward a multipolar world order, in which Iran might play a main role.