India rates signal cuts as cooling inflation adds to upbeat mood

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
By Subhadip SircarBonds bulls in India have more reasons to cheer this week
Receding inflation pressure and a new central bank governor widely seen to have a dovish bent mean the swap markets have started pricing in
interest-rate cuts. One-year onshore swap rates are factoring a 50 percent chance of a reduction around April or June, or 100 percent chance
of a 25-basis-point cut in August, according to ICICI Securities Primary Dealership Ltd
senior vice president at ICICI Securities Primary in Mumbai. Even economists expect the RBI to reverse its stance and lower rates
wrote in a note. Consumer prices rose 2.3 percent in November from a year ago, according to government data released after market hours
Wednesday
dramatically after the recent slide in oil prices
Yields on the benchmark 10-year debt have fallen over 60 basis points since end-September
It was down 2 basis points at 7.39 percent on Thursday.